Saturday, March 16, 2024

EVM & Election of People’ Representatives

With the General Election 2024 being only months away the media wars are heating up around manipulation’ of results in favour of ‘powerful’ and/or those in power.

*The ‘tool’, at the centre of this cacophony is the Electronic Voting Machines, and the processes surrounding the voting, maintaining the integrity of the processes of collating, counting, tallying and declaring the results.

*The din serves a useful purpose of keeping all concerned on their toes.

 

*In 2019 general elections ECI reported a mismatch of votes polled and counted in a whopping 373 seats ~69% of the seats for which elections were held: There were surplus votes in 220 Seat while 153 seats reported a deficit. There are 6 seats where the discrepancy in votes is higher than the winning margin. A suspicion of ‘manipulation’ is therefore valid as there is no satisfactory explanation for these ‘result changing’ aberrations available in the public domain.

 

*The demand for return to “Paper Ballots’ is a non sequitur. Even those proposing it know it. Booth capturing/mass rigging by miscreants to intimidating the polling personnel and stamping the Ballot papers on particular symbol and escaping in a matter of minutes, is surely prevented by the use of EVMs.

*Thiru TN Seshan exerted all the Constitutional Powers of a CEC to the hilt- no-holds barred to control the animal spirits of the contenders for political power. His management of election processes on this vast sub-continent left behind many robust SoPs for conducting elections.  

 

*The ‘hacking’ charge is easily dismissed since all three components of the EVM --‘Ballot Unit (BU), the VVPAT and Control Unit (CU) are fully isolated once placed in the polling booth: There is no internet, wi-fi or blue tooth access. Both ECIL and BEL the manufactures and indeed the Prof A.G. Rao and Prof Ravi Poovaiah of IIT Bombay, who designed the system must have used ‘hacking’ to ensure a “fit for use’ EVM.   

 

*The Election Commission of India supervised and managed the “1952 polls that had 173 million electors, who walked up to the presiding officers sitting under a tree, and cast their vote in unprotected polling stations.

*Cut to 2019, the Election Commission issued ‘tamper proof’ ‘voter ID cards’ to 911.9 million electors. The voter turnout being 67.4 per cent, 614 million votes were cast.

*Padma Bhushan Sukumar Sen, our first CEC, supervised the 1952 general elections, that had only 1,874 candidates from 53 parties contesting in 401 constituencies. It required 1.96 lakh polling booths.

*CEC Sunil Arora supervised the fractious 2019 general elections that featured 8,054 candidates from 673 parties in 543 constituencies with 10.37 lakh polling booths. He lamented that EVMs were being treated like a "football" by parties suffering electoral losses. "It is not possible to manipulate EVMs. But technical snags are possible as in case of any other device, but are promptly fixed”. (Eco Times – Mar 1st 2024 -PTI)

*These numbers compare favourably with the combined population of USA plus the 27 countries of European Union: And have earned the epithet of “The Gold Standard” for the Indian Electoral Processes in the democratic world. Former CEC Nasim Zaidi asserted that “the ECI enjoys trust and confidence of people …. for delivering regular, periodic, credible and acceptable elections every time and on time since 1952". (Eco Times – Feb 2024)

 

*The EVMs were improved over 22 years before its full deployment in 2004 general election, with model called 'M1 EVMs'. A 'M2 EVMs' was used between 2006 to 2010. The latest generation of EVMs, produced since 2013, are known as 'M3 EVMs', incorporating the Voter Verifiable Paper Audit Trail (VVPAT) machines, pursuant to Supreme Court orders.  

*The model obsolescence and expected wear and tear and service life explains the difference between the produced numbers and the stock with Election Commission. The ECI junked 9,30,430 EVMs purchased before 2006 as the older machines are nearing their 15-year life cycle.

(HT -2nd Apil 2017).

*In 2024 General Election, due in April-May, EC estimates that 11.8 Lakh polling stations will be established requiring 30.78 lakh EVMs. (ET – 28th Dec 2023)

 

*There is no proof that EVMs have been manipulated in any of the past elections. However, concerned people claim that the risks are there.

*Madhav Deshmukh, an IT Expert, explains that since the ‘vote’ flows thru the VVPAT unit to the ‘Control Unit” it may be fudged. Even if the ‘correct’ ‘chunav chinh’ appears in the VVPAT window for 7 seconds, the VVPAT may send another to the Control Unit (CU).  

*Given that it is Voter’ constitutional right to put her ballot in the box: the VVPAT devise should be connected in parallel, enabling the voter to transmit her vote directly to the Control Unit, after ‘verification’.  

*There are doubts expressed about the robustness of processes pairing the BU and CU; the opening and closing of the polling day; the transport of EVMs to the Counting Stations, security and integrity of counting processes. (Remember: There are 6 seats where the discrepancy in votes is higher than the winning margin-2019 GE).

 

*It is axiomatic that errors, random or manipulated occur at “Process Interfaces”. A few technical and process fixes will assuage the ‘doubters’ and even help control mischievous intents, improve efficiencies and cut costs.

Process 1: Before actual poll, Mock-poll is conducted in the polling station in the presence of polling agents of the contesting candidates, ensuring that the BU press registers correctly in the Control Unit. After Mock-poll, data of mock poll is cleared and Result section is sealed with green paper seal, tags & thread.

A Technical Fix: Replace the ‘green paper seal, tags and thread’ with or add a ‘bank locker’ type locking system.

Process 2: The polling officer presses “ballot button’ on CU and the ‘green light’ on BU glows, indicating that the Voter may cast her vote. Once s/he casts her vote, the ‘Red Candidate lamp’ lights up.

2b: And the VVPAT window shows the Symbol for 7 seconds and prints a paper slip; and the Vote is sent from the VVPAT unit to and is registered in the Control Unit. A count of VVPAT slips from 5% of the polling stations during the counting process is supposed to certify the integrity of Election Results. There is demand for 100% counting of Paper Slips, adding enormous time and costs to the process.      

A Technical Fix: Let’s hand over the ‘confirmation’ to the voter herself, i) Add two switches, “GREEN- OK” at the bottom of BU and “RED- Not OK’ on top of the BU, ii) Convert the VVPAT to only a “Vote Verification Unit” – VVU – eliminate printer and paper, and iii) Connect the VVU only to BU – remove its connection to CU.    

Process Fix: The Voter, if s/he sees the correct symbol in the VVU, presses the “Green -OK’ button. This action alone sends the Vote to and is registered in the CU. And the VVU window closes.

*The “VVU” will not cost more than ₹500, saving ₹15,500, by eliminating the expensive printer and paper rolls; halving the cost of EVM Unit. There would be enormous saving of time and money at the counting stage as well.

If s/he presses the “Red-Not OK’ switch her first vote is ‘deleted’ and s/he may rectify her vote.   

 

Process 3: After completion of poll, EVMs are escorted back to strong room and the Polled EVMs are stored under 24 X 7 security.

A Fix: BEL and ECIL may create a WORM (Write Once, Read Many) flash drive where the entered content cannot be deleted, formatted, erased, altered or manipulated.

*Candidates buy and provide WORM USBs to each of their Authorised Polling Agents, who register with the Presiding Officer of the Polling station.  

*At the end of Poling day, the Polling agents are allowed to download voting data from the CUs on to their WORM USB. This will enable each Candidate to confirm the “result” declared by the ECI, after compiling the raw data from their own Poling Agents.

*The Candidates will have raw data for analysing and help develop their electoral strategy in future (Reduce the power of large parties)

*And the concerns around ‘pairing of BU & CU, Tracking of EVMs etc are alleviated and sources of variation/errors in the results reduced if not fully eliminated.

*A few pre-poll steps may also be rationalised to improve efficiencies: And the ECI may develop algorithms defining variation limits within which the Results can be declared and/or repoll ordered. 

 

*Transparency built thru the above ‘fixes will improve the ‘health of election processes which is but one of steps to ensure a healthy democracy. The purpose however is to elect 542 People’ Representatives to represent “we the people’ in Lok Sabha: A body that is central to the functioning of the Indian State. 

*The ‘dance of democracy’ played out on daily basis shows that our PRs are whipped and corralled into just being a ‘number’ that leaves her brains and souls on those steps to the Sabha, where the great leader touched his forehead.  

*After eight years of work, the book, “Factory Resets of Governance Rules” -Democracy FOR the People, lays out a set of ‘implementation prescriptions’ – a ‘business plan’ that uses ‘Good Governance Practices’ based on the spirit of our Constitution: More specifically, the Preamble to the Constitution.  

*The Chapter 4 – The People’ Representatives, sets out the structure, systems, processes (in about 15 pages) such that each candidate may spend under one crore for her election, loosening the hold of pressure groups and lobbyists. S/he is also generously incentivised to act conscientiously on behalf of her constituents.  

*Incidentally, Mizoram uses one of the “Resets” to election process- hopefully effectively. 

Thursday, February 1, 2024

We Cousins Across Borders

 Anwar Maqsood, despaired at the economic social and political degradation of his country, Pakistan, in this interview with rafter.tv, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2JNQ_-6uV44

*Coming from a usually sunny personality; a Rishi, these observations were deeply disturbing. His ardent wish for a saviour in a “good mullah” or a “good general” has an uncanny resonance with Dr Ambedkar’ who cautioned that “good wo/men’ operate the Constitution.   

 

*Rishi Anwar Jalalpuri of Lucknow rightly argued that Vedic literatures underpinning the subcontinental culture and civilisation were composed eons before the advent of currently dominant religions. Though our civilisational DNA is same we, India and Pakistan took divergent paths to creating democratic republics that work FOR the People (supposedly).    

*Pakistan took on the formidable but core challenge of reconciling ‘religious and democratic values to develop institutions of the State. Pakistan took 26 years to craft a Constitution: In 1973, post the cathartic separation of the East.  

We Indians, got lucky in that for the first 20 years after 1947 our ‘good’ leadership was able to establish and strengthen democratic institutions lay the foundations for economic growth.

*While researching for the source of Janab Maqsood’ despondence, it came to the fore that the Hindu businessmen of the East eagerly pushed for partition of Bengal, while their Muslim counterparts did that in the West. Kindly recall that only propertied and monied classes could vote (about 3% of the population) and they drove (funded) the politicians as usual (the world over).  

*The Pakistani politicians rowed hard towards Middle-East to craft new Pakistani identities that are far removed from the subcontinental ethos; with little success. The continuously pumped-up war hysteria is another such effort (to my mind).   

 

*We, Vanprasthi’s have a panoramic view of life as experienced, and know that one man’ patriot is the opposing party’ terrorist. The Big Wo/Men ruled for 12000 years: it is only 225 years that democracies were forced upon them: They now masquerade as democrats.

*The real push back will come from the educated masses, that have grown from 17% in 1947 to about 70% in three nations (there is evidence of slide back in Pakistan). The West achieved this level in 1750’s, a good 275 years ago. 

 

*Maqsood Saheb’ eyes lit up while discussing Jaun Elia and his normal witty personality came alive.  Allow me to attempt a smile from Maqsood Bhai: “Pakistanis got religion as a “Jhtaka’ in 1947, we in India are getting it as “Halal” now. (Pun intended!) 

You may enjoy the mind- expanding (or bending) by reading my book.  

Sunday, January 14, 2024

A Pleasant Journey Thru (ONLY) Life

 A Pleasant Journey of Life

Any society must move along the scale of Jungle (0) to Civilized (10), the “Matsya Nyaya”, for it to rise up on the "happiness Index": At say 7+ most Individuals may thrive and live out a “pleasant journey of life”.  

*In the modern world all persons are 'equal rights' fellow citizens, implying ‘rights’ to a ‘pleasant life’ – a life of "dignity' as a ‘person of worth'. The idea has been variously articulated ‘no one left behind” Or welfare of ‘last man standing’, ‘Antodaya” etc. over last 200 years.  

*It is well understood that “economic wellbeing” is the necessary, though not sufficient condition for living such a journey of life: The ONLY Life.

 

*There are two groups – the unskilled workers and farmers, who have very low bargaining power; also called ‘pricing power’ who must therefore be supported.

 

*The Lowest unit of administration decides and declares minimum wages, say quarterly for ‘unskilled worker’ – a mason helper, a housemaid, a farm picker, that must at least be “Consumption Needs of a Household +30%, the savings rate.".

*The same lowest unit of administration will, every month, declare a price for “All Farm Outputs” and “primary goods” that is at least 50% of the price a housewife/buyer pays in the nearest town.

 

*These two measures will ensure that Billions can live out a ‘pleasant journey thru life”. All other economic measures (so far) effect people in millions. And most jurisdictions will experience a steep rise on “Happiness Index’ say by 2034.

 

*Detailed computations in support are set out in my book “Factory Resets of Governance Rules”. The Governance Structures, Systems and processes have been “Reset’ with strong incentive structures such that the Wo/men, who steer our governments work FOR the People.